One doc tagged with "causal-inference"

Counterfactual thinking is the cognitive process of imagining how outcomes would have differed had circumstances, decisions, or events been different — "What if X had not happened?" or "What if we had done Y instead?" Used in causal analysis, decision post-mortems, legal reasoning, and historical understanding, it is a fundamental tool for learning from experience — but one that must be used carefully to avoid the psychological traps of hindsight bias and self-blame.