Skip to main content

One doc tagged with "gamblers-fallacy"

View all tags

Gambler's Fallacy

The Gambler's Fallacy is the mistaken belief that independent random events are influenced by previous outcomes — specifically, that a sequence of outcomes in one direction makes the opposite outcome more likely. It arises from a misunderstanding of randomness and the representativeness heuristic, and leads to systematically flawed predictions in gambling, investing, sports, and any domain involving independent probabilistic events.