A step-by-step guide for running a rigorous annual personal review using Inversion, Circle of Competence, and the Pareto Principle. Most year-end reviews feel good but change nothing. This framework forces honest diagnosis, not just celebration, and produces a focused plan rather than an optimistic list.
A rigorous framework for annual organizational strategy planning using Scenario Planning, Leverage Points, and MECE. Moves beyond the typical budget-driven planning exercise to build strategies that are genuinely resilient, focused on high-leverage interventions, and complete in their analysis. Designed for leadership teams and founders.
A structured approach for diagnosing business problems — from declining revenue and stalled growth to team dysfunction and product issues — using 5 Whys, Issue Trees, and Root Cause Analysis. Most business problems are addressed at the symptom level, which is why they recur. This framework finds the actual cause.
A structured decision framework for anyone considering a significant career change — using Opportunity Cost, Regret Minimization, and Satisficing. Whether you're thinking about leaving a stable job to found a startup, switching industries, or pursuing a role with lower pay but more meaning, this guide helps you reason through the decision rigorously rather than impulsively or fearfully.
A practical framework for startup founders preparing to raise a venture round — using Pre-mortem, Steel Manning, and Signaling Theory. Most founders lose rounds not because their business is bad but because they were unprepared for the real questions, sent the wrong signals, or failed to anticipate investor objections. This guide changes that.
A structured framework for making better hiring decisions using Reference Class Forecasting, Survivorship Bias awareness, and MECE analysis. Covers both the evaluation of individual candidates and the design of a hiring process that reduces bias and improves prediction. Applicable to founders making their first ten hires and experienced managers building high-performance teams.
A rigorous framework for making investment decisions — whether in public equities, private companies, real estate, or your own business — using Expected Value, Circle of Competence, and Margin of Safety. Covers how to evaluate an opportunity, size a position, and know when you should not be making the investment at all.
A structured preparation framework for high-stakes negotiations using BATNA, Steel Manning, and Anchoring Bias awareness. Covers salary negotiations, deal negotiations, partnership terms, and conflict resolution conversations. Preparation is where most negotiations are won or lost — this framework shows you how to do it properly.
A structured planning framework for new product launches using Pre-mortem analysis, Second Order Thinking, and MECE. Covers the critical planning gaps that cause most launches to underperform — from incomplete risk identification to unintended consequences of go-to-market decisions. Designed for product managers and growth teams at any stage.
A structured approach to setting meaningful, achievable personal goals using Regret Minimization, Circle of Competence, and the Two-Way Door framework. Addresses the two most common goal-setting failures — setting goals that don't reflect what you actually value and setting goals that are either too rigid or too vague to execute. Applicable at any life stage.
A structured framework for setting product pricing using First Principles Thinking, Anchoring Bias, and Cost-Benefit Analysis. Most pricing decisions are made by copying competitors or gut feel. This guide helps product managers and founders build pricing from the ground up — from actual value delivered to price anchoring architecture — and avoid the most common pricing mistakes.
A step-by-step framework for managers and team leads navigating interpersonal conflict at work — using Hanlon's Razor, the Ladder of Inference, and Nonviolent Communication. Covers both individual conflict resolution conversations and persistent team dynamic problems. The goal is not just to end the conflict but to address its actual source.
A practical framework for facilitating a productive creative sprint using Reverse Brainstorming, Six Thinking Hats, and SCAMPER. Moves a team from blank page to prioritized, actionable ideas in a structured session. Applicable to product teams, marketing teams, design sprints, and any situation where a group needs to generate and evaluate novel ideas quickly.
A step-by-step framework for founders facing high-stakes startup decisions — from pivots and pricing to hiring and market bets. Combines First Principles Thinking, Inversion, and the Pre-mortem to cut through uncertainty, kill bad options early, and commit with clarity. Designed for early-stage founders who can't afford to get the big calls wrong.
A structured approach to UX research and user interviews using Jobs to Be Done, Empathy Mapping, and the Ladder of Inference. Designed for product designers and researchers who want to generate insights that actually change product decisions — not just confirm existing assumptions or produce beautiful artifacts.